Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • Haig Avenue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.53) 2.33 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 19.7% 51.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 2.0% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthportCurzon Ashton
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack42%37%
Defense58%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southport Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%25%22%33%36%35%
Draws55%17%35%17%45%30%
Loses27%58%43%50%18%35%

Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDL • Curzon Ashton: DDDLWLWDLWWLWWDDLWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Southport Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
GF total161228142337
GF avg1.51.01.21.22.11.6
GA total152237181836
GA avg1.41.81.61.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthportCurzon Ashton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%87%87%78%
1.548%57%48%52%
2.54%13%22%26%
3.50%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthportCurzon Ashton
HATHAT
Clean sheets303325
Failed to score257303

Penalties

MetricSouthportCurzon Ashton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSouthportCurzon Ashton
Wins22
Draws33
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-4
Biggest losses2-34-20-33-2
Goals For3234
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricSouthportCurzon Ashton
Form60%40%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : Southport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.18 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southport = 1.57 (league 1.53), Curzon Ashton = 2.33 (league 1.26)

Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 2.0% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.2%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 51.6%

vtt 16 , vtd1