Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 19:45 • The Impact Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.57) 1.14 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 27.6% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 9.1% 10.3% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 13.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack20%73%
Defense33%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Hereford
HATHAT
Played161935151833
Wins38%11%23%40%22%30%
Draws25%26%26%20%28%24%
Loses38%63%51%40%50%45%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLWDLWWLLDLL • Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLLDWLLDDLLLWLWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Hereford
HATHAT
GF total171633271946
GF avg1.10.80.91.81.11.4
GA total214465263258
GA avg1.32.31.91.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownHereford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%86%76%85%
1.526%51%39%55%
2.53%23%12%21%
3.50%11%6%12%
4.50%9%6%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score5712268

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Wins23
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-10-2
Biggest losses0-36-01-45-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against3645

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Form9%91%
Att21%79%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hereford

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 1.26 (league 1.57), Hereford = 1.14 (league 1.26)

Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 9.1% 10.3% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 13.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 33.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1