Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • The Impact Arena
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.53) 1.14 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 29.5% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 11.7% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack22%39%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Hereford
HATHAT
Played11122391221
Wins36%8%22%22%25%24%
Draws27%33%30%33%25%29%
Loses36%58%48%44%50%48%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLW • Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Hereford
HATHAT
GF total10919121426
GF avg0.90.80.81.31.21.2
GA total132942162036
GA avg1.22.41.81.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownHereford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%83%76%90%
1.522%43%43%52%
2.50%22%5%19%
3.50%13%0%10%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score459235

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Wins12
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-36-01-43-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3644

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownHereford
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hereford

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 1.00 (league 1.53), Hereford = 1.14 (league 1.26)

Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 11.7% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 38.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1