Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
The Brewery Field
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.54)
1.64 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.1% | 23.0% | 37.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spennymoor Town | 0 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 56% |
| Defense | 44% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 45% | 33% | 39% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 36% | 25% | 30% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
| Loses | 18% | 42% | 30% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
Form: Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWWWWLLDWLLDWDDLD • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 15 | 32 | 26 | 15 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 61% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 39% | 50% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 26% | 25% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 17% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-4 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Telford United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Spennymoor Town = 1.66 (league 1.54), AFC Telford United = 1.64 (league 1.27)
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spennymoor Town | 0 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 37.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1