Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • New Bucks Head
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.56) 1.55 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 17.6% 20.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Telford United 0 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.2% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.7% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChorley
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack55%36%
Defense77%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Telford United Chorley
HATHAT
Played141630171431
Wins57%31%43%47%21%35%
Draws21%31%27%24%29%26%
Loses21%38%30%29%50%39%

Form: AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWWWLWWWWLW • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWL

League goals

Metric AFC Telford United Chorley
HATHAT
GF total313061312152
GF avg2.21.92.01.81.51.7
GA total182442212647
GA avg1.31.51.41.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC Telford UnitedChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%71%87%
1.557%37%48%52%
2.530%20%35%13%
3.513%3%13%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets336404
Failed to score123549

Penalties

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChorley
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChorley
Wins42
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-84-01-4
Biggest losses2-43-00-23-1
Goals For4844
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChorley
Form63%37%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Telford United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Unibet
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Telford United = 2.68 (league 1.56), Chorley = 1.55 (league 1.26)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Telford United 0 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.2% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.7% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1