Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Edgar Street
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.56) 2.44 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 18.6% 57.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
7.5%
1 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Darlington 1883
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 2.3% 5.6% 6.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
1 3.1% 7.5% 9.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.0% 6.1% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerefordDarlington 1883
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack18%50%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hereford Darlington 1883
HATHAT
Played91625141529
Wins22%19%20%43%47%45%
Draws33%25%28%36%20%28%
Loses44%56%52%21%33%28%

Form: Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLLDWLLDDLLL • Darlington 1883: LWLDDLWDDLWLWLWWWWDWLDWLWWDWD

League goals

Metric Hereford Darlington 1883
HATHAT
GF total121628312556
GF avg1.31.01.12.21.71.9
GA total163046212445
GA avg1.81.91.81.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerefordDarlington 1883
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%88%97%83%
1.536%56%48%41%
2.54%24%28%24%
3.50%12%14%3%
4.50%4%7%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerefordDarlington 1883
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score257011

Penalties

MetricHerefordDarlington 1883
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHerefordDarlington 1883
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-11-4
Biggest losses1-45-11-35-1
Goals For3254
Goals Against4535

Model comparison

MetricHerefordDarlington 1883
Form15%85%
Att27%73%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total28.7%71.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Darlington 1883

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hereford = 1.33 (league 1.56), Darlington 1883 = 2.44 (league 1.26)

Darlington 1883
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 2.3% 5.6% 6.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
1 3.1% 7.5% 9.1% 7.4% 4.5% 2.2%
2 2.0% 5.0% 6.1% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 57.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1