Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 • The New Eyrie
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.53) 1.51 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 20.9% 26.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBedford TownSouthport
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack47%41%
Defense47%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bedford Town Southport
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins31%23%27%15%25%20%
Draws23%31%27%54%17%36%
Loses46%46%46%31%58%44%

Form: Bedford Town: DLWLLLDDLWDWWWLLWLLLDLDDWL • Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDLLD

League goals

Metric Bedford Town Southport
HATHAT
GF total241640191231
GF avg1.81.21.51.51.01.2
GA total252045202242
GA avg1.91.51.71.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBedford TownSouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%72%88%
1.550%62%48%56%
2.519%19%4%16%
3.54%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBedford TownSouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets224303
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricBedford TownSouthport
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricBedford TownSouthport
Wins32
Draws23
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-12-44-2
Goals For4232
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricBedford TownSouthport
Form63%38%
Att53%47%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total51.4%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bedford Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Dafabet
Away2.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.33 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bedford Town = 2.12 (league 1.53), Southport = 1.51 (league 1.26)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 26.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1