Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 • Penydarren Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.16 (league 1.53) 1.66 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 15.1% 16.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 1
6.7%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Peterborough Sports
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.0% 6.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4%
4 3.3% 5.6% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerthyr TownPeterborough Sports
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack76%18%
Defense59%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merthyr Town Peterborough Sports
HATHAT
Played131326131124
Wins62%69%65%31%18%25%
Draws8%8%8%23%9%17%
Loses31%23%27%46%73%58%

Form: Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWWLDLLWWWWWWWWLWWDWW • Peterborough Sports: LLDLLWLLWDLLWWLLLWWLLLDD

League goals

Metric Merthyr Town Peterborough Sports
HATHAT
GF total273562121527
GF avg2.12.72.40.91.41.1
GA total202444212546
GA avg1.51.81.71.62.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerthyr TownPeterborough Sports
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%63%83%
1.573%42%38%54%
2.546%27%13%33%
3.523%12%0%13%
4.58%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerthyr TownPeterborough Sports
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score224729

Penalties

MetricMerthyr TownPeterborough Sports
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricMerthyr TownPeterborough Sports
Wins82
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-54-00-55-2
Goals For6533
Goals Against5655

Model comparison

MetricMerthyr TownPeterborough Sports
Form87%13%
Att81%19%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total73.3%26.8%

Advice: Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Betano
No2.55 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Merthyr Town = 3.16 (league 1.53), Peterborough Sports = 1.66 (league 1.26)

Peterborough Sports
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.0% 6.7% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4%
4 3.3% 5.6% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 16.9%

vtt 2 , vtd2