Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • The Impact Arena
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.56) 1.45 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 26.4% 46.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 8.4% 12.1% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.5% 6.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownChorley
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack28%56%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Chorley
HATHAT
Played121325131326
Wins33%8%20%54%15%35%
Draws25%31%28%23%31%27%
Loses42%62%52%23%54%38%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLL • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Chorley
HATHAT
GF total111021261844
GF avg0.90.80.82.01.41.7
GA total153247162440
GA avg1.32.51.91.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%84%73%85%
1.520%48%50%54%
2.50%24%35%15%
3.50%12%12%0%
4.50%12%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets224404
Failed to score459347

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownChorley
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownChorley
Wins12
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-01-4
Biggest losses0-36-00-23-1
Goals For2244
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownChorley
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chorley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 1.04 (league 1.56), Chorley = 1.45 (league 1.26)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 8.4% 12.1% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.5% 6.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 46.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1