Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 •
The Impact Arena
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.53)
1.33 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 27.4% | 42.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Chorley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfreton Town | 0 | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 47% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Chorley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 36% | 8% | 21% | 58% | 15% | 36% |
| Draws | 27% | 31% | 29% | 25% | 31% | 28% |
| Loses | 36% | 62% | 50% | 17% | 54% | 36% |
Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWL • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Chorley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 18 | 43 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 32 | 45 | 14 | 24 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alfreton Town | Chorley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 83% | 72% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 46% | 52% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 36% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Chorley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chorley
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 1.06 (league 1.53), Chorley = 1.33 (league 1.27)
| Chorley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfreton Town | 0 | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 42.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1