Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Haig Avenue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.57) 1.78 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 22.2% 38.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthportBuxton
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack45%45%
Defense59%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southport Buxton
HATHAT
Played161632161430
Wins25%25%25%44%36%40%
Draws50%13%31%13%21%17%
Loses25%63%44%44%43%43%

Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDLLDWLWLDLW • Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLLLWLLDLWWDLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Southport Buxton
HATHAT
GF total271744292352
GF avg1.71.11.41.81.61.7
GA total233154212243
GA avg1.41.91.71.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthportBuxton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%88%87%80%
1.550%56%50%53%
2.59%16%17%10%
3.53%9%10%0%
4.53%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthportBuxton
HATHAT
Clean sheets404426
Failed to score279224

Penalties

MetricSouthportBuxton
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSouthportBuxton
Wins24
Draws31
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-36-01-5
Biggest losses2-44-20-23-0
Goals For5365
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricSouthportBuxton
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Southport or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.36 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southport = 1.73 (league 1.57), Buxton = 1.78 (league 1.26)

Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 38.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1