Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 • The Impact Arena
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.56) 1.86 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 22.3% 58.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.5%
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 6.2% 11.5% 10.7% 6.6% 3.1% 1.2%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.9% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownBuxton
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack29%57%
Defense67%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Buxton
HATHAT
Played121426151328
Wins33%14%23%47%38%43%
Draws25%29%27%7%23%14%
Loses42%57%50%47%38%43%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLW • Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLLLWLLDLWWDLWWL

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Buxton
HATHAT
GF total111223292352
GF avg0.90.90.91.91.81.9
GA total153247212142
GA avg1.32.31.81.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownBuxton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%81%93%82%
1.523%46%54%57%
2.50%23%18%11%
3.50%12%11%0%
4.50%12%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownBuxton
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score459112

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownBuxton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownBuxton
Wins14
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-26-01-5
Biggest losses0-36-00-23-0
Goals For2265
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownBuxton
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h60%40%
Goals41%59%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Buxton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 0.92 (league 1.56), Buxton = 1.86 (league 1.26)

Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 6.2% 11.5% 10.7% 6.6% 3.1% 1.2%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.9% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 58.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1