Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
The Impact Arena
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.56)
1.75 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.8% | 23.3% | 58.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 2
11.4%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Buxton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfreton Town | 0 | 7.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 13% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Buxton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 22 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| Wins | 40% | 14% | 26% | 38% | 52% | 45% |
| Draws | 25% | 27% | 26% | 10% | 19% | 14% |
| Loses | 35% | 59% | 48% | 52% | 29% | 40% |
Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLWDLWWLLDLLWDLLWDW • Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLLLWLLDLWWDLWWLDLDLLWLWWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Buxton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 19 | 40 | 36 | 35 | 71 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 25 | 49 | 74 | 33 | 25 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alfreton Town | Buxton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 86% | 86% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 48% | 52% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 2% | 21% | 17% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 7% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Buxton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Buxton
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 0.84 (league 1.56), Buxton = 1.75 (league 1.26)
| Buxton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfreton Town | 0 | 7.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 58.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1