Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 • Deva Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.56) 1.08 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 19.5% 17.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.1%
1 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chester 0 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.3% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterAlfreton Town
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack38%38%
Defense38%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chester Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played151631121426
Wins27%38%32%33%14%23%
Draws47%19%32%25%29%27%
Loses27%44%35%42%57%50%

Form: Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLDWDWDWWLLWLLDWLLLW • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Chester Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total222143111223
GF avg1.51.31.40.90.90.9
GA total222749153247
GA avg1.51.71.61.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%87%65%81%
1.545%45%23%46%
2.510%23%0%23%
3.50%3%0%12%
4.50%0%0%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets224235
Failed to score145459

Penalties

MetricChesterAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricChesterAlfreton Town
Wins21
Draws51
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-00-36-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricChesterAlfreton Town
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chester or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chester = 2.21 (league 1.56), Alfreton Town = 1.08 (league 1.26)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chester 0 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.3% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 17.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1