Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.56) 0.96 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 20.3% 16.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleySouthport
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%38%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Southport
HATHAT
Played151429151530
Wins47%21%34%20%27%23%
Draws27%29%28%53%13%33%
Loses27%50%38%27%60%43%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDW • Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDLLDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Chorley Southport
HATHAT
GF total272148221537
GF avg1.81.51.71.51.01.2
GA total182644222749
GA avg1.21.91.51.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleySouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%86%70%87%
1.548%52%47%57%
2.534%14%7%13%
3.510%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleySouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets404404
Failed to score448279

Penalties

MetricChorleySouthport
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricChorleySouthport
Wins22
Draws13
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-12-3
Biggest losses0-23-12-44-2
Goals For4433
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricChorleySouthport
Form42%58%
Att57%43%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h85%15%
Goals83%17%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Chorley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Superbet
Away3.35 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 2.08 (league 1.56), Southport = 0.96 (league 1.26)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.2% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 16.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1