Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 • Aggborough Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.56) 2.29 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.2% 19.8% 43.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.4%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kidderminster Harriers 0 1.4% 3.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.8% 6.4% 7.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKidderminster HarriersMerthyr Town
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack38%38%
Defense56%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kidderminster Harriers Merthyr Town
HATHAT
Played141529161531
Wins57%40%48%56%60%58%
Draws29%33%31%6%7%6%
Loses14%27%21%38%33%35%

Form: Kidderminster Harriers: WDDLWWWDDLLDWWDWLDLWWWWWWDWDL • Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWWLDLLWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Kidderminster Harriers Merthyr Town
HATHAT
GF total231639323668
GF avg1.61.11.32.02.42.2
GA total171734272855
GA avg1.21.11.21.71.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKidderminster HarriersMerthyr Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%62%84%77%
1.531%34%68%45%
2.510%7%39%32%
3.50%7%19%13%
4.50%7%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKidderminster HarriersMerthyr Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611437
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricKidderminster HarriersMerthyr Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricKidderminster HarriersMerthyr Town
Wins68
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-26-20-3
Biggest losses1-55-10-54-0
Goals For3265
Goals Against5556

Model comparison

MetricKidderminster HarriersMerthyr Town
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Kidderminster Harriers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Unibet
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away5.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kidderminster Harriers = 1.95 (league 1.56), Merthyr Town = 2.29 (league 1.26)

Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kidderminster Harriers 0 1.4% 3.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.8% 6.4% 7.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 43.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1