Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Mill Farm
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.39 (league 1.56) 0.93 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.4% 10.2% 6.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 8.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.3% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.0% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeAlfreton Town
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%57%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played151429121527
Wins67%71%69%33%13%22%
Draws13%7%10%25%33%30%
Loses20%21%21%42%53%48%

Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLWWWWLWLWWWLWDWWLWW • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLWD

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total353267111425
GF avg2.32.32.30.90.90.9
GA total201333153449
GA avg1.30.91.11.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%69%67%81%
1.566%31%26%48%
2.538%10%0%22%
3.517%3%0%11%
4.517%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets459235
Failed to score022459

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeAlfreton Town
Wins41
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-52-00-2
Biggest losses2-42-10-36-0
Goals For5522
Goals Against4336

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeAlfreton Town
Form63%37%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h93%7%
Goals89%11%
Total75.8%24.2%

Advice: Winner : AFC Fylde

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.67 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.05 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 3.39 (league 1.56), Alfreton Town = 0.93 (league 1.26)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.6% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 8.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.3% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.0% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 6.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1