Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Deva Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.56) 2.15 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.0% 20.7% 49.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chester 0 2.5% 5.4% 5.8% 4.2% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.9% 8.3% 8.9% 6.4% 3.4% 1.5%
2 3.0% 6.4% 6.8% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.5% 3.3% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterBuxton
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack43%79%
Defense21%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chester Buxton
HATHAT
Played161632161329
Wins25%38%31%44%38%41%
Draws50%19%34%13%23%17%
Loses25%44%34%44%38%41%

Form: Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLDWDWDWWLLWLLDWLLLWD • Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLLLWLLDLWWDLWWLD

League goals

Metric Chester Buxton
HATHAT
GF total242145292352
GF avg1.51.31.41.81.81.8
GA total242751212142
GA avg1.51.71.61.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterBuxton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%88%90%79%
1.547%47%52%55%
2.59%22%17%10%
3.50%3%10%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterBuxton
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricChesterBuxton
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricChesterBuxton
Wins24
Draws51
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-36-01-5
Biggest losses1-34-00-23-0
Goals For3365
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricChesterBuxton
Form36%64%
Att35%65%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Buxton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ William Hill
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away2.79 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chester = 1.53 (league 1.56), Buxton = 2.15 (league 1.26)

Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chester 0 2.5% 5.4% 5.8% 4.2% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.9% 8.3% 8.9% 6.4% 3.4% 1.5%
2 3.0% 6.4% 6.8% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.5% 3.3% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 49.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1