Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Haig Avenue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.56) 1.19 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 24.5% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 5.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.4% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthportHereford
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack36%21%
Defense36%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southport Hereford
HATHAT
Played15163191524
Wins20%25%23%22%20%21%
Draws53%13%32%33%27%29%
Loses27%63%45%44%53%50%

Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDLLDWLWLDL • Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLLDWLLDDLL

League goals

Metric Southport Hereford
HATHAT
GF total221739121527
GF avg1.51.11.31.31.01.1
GA total223153162541
GA avg1.51.91.71.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthportHereford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%87%71%88%
1.548%58%38%54%
2.56%16%4%21%
3.50%10%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthportHereford
HATHAT
Clean sheets404123
Failed to score279257

Penalties

MetricSouthportHereford
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricSouthportHereford
Wins22
Draws32
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-32-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-21-43-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricSouthportHereford
Form67%33%
Att63%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Southport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.28 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southport = 1.63 (league 1.56), Hereford = 1.19 (league 1.26)

Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 5.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.4% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 27.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1