Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Edgar Street
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.56) 1.78 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 23.1% 47.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 4.4% 7.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.5% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerefordChester
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack24%47%
Defense29%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hereford Chester
HATHAT
Played111627171734
Wins27%19%22%29%41%35%
Draws27%25%26%47%18%32%
Loses45%56%52%24%41%32%

Form: Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLLDWLLDDLLLWL • Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLDWDWDWWLLWLLDWLLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Hereford Chester
HATHAT
GF total141630252348
GF avg1.31.01.11.51.41.4
GA total183048242751
GA avg1.61.91.81.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerefordChester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%85%85%82%
1.533%56%47%44%
2.54%22%9%21%
3.50%11%0%3%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerefordChester
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score257145

Penalties

MetricHerefordChester
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricHerefordChester
Wins22
Draws25
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-45-11-34-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricHerefordChester
Form23%77%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.29 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hereford = 1.33 (league 1.56), Chester = 1.78 (league 1.26)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 4.4% 7.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.5% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 47.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1