Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • The Brewery Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.56) 2.12 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 20.9% 48.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spennymoor Town 0 2.5% 5.2% 5.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
1 3.9% 8.3% 8.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.6% 3.5% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpennymoor TownChorley
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack29%53%
Defense29%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spennymoor Town Chorley
HATHAT
Played151631171633
Wins33%44%39%47%19%33%
Draws27%19%23%24%31%27%
Loses40%38%39%29%50%39%

Form: Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWWWWLLDWLLDWDDLDLLWLLWWL • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWLDL

League goals

Metric Spennymoor Town Chorley
HATHAT
GF total202242312354
GF avg1.31.41.41.81.41.6
GA total292655213051
GA avg1.91.61.81.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpennymoor TownChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%68%70%88%
1.548%45%48%55%
2.513%29%33%12%
3.53%19%12%0%
4.53%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpennymoor TownChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510404
Failed to score56115510

Penalties

MetricSpennymoor TownChorley
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSpennymoor TownChorley
Wins42
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-40-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-56-00-23-1
Goals For6344
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricSpennymoor TownChorley
Form46%54%
Att36%64%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chorley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Betfair
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spennymoor Town = 1.58 (league 1.56), Chorley = 2.12 (league 1.26)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spennymoor Town 0 2.5% 5.2% 5.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
1 3.9% 8.3% 8.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.6% 3.5% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 48.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1