Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Mill Farm
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.56) 1.86 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 19.1% 28.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.0%
3 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.3% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 3.3% 6.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.0% 7.5% 7.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.3% 6.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeCurzon Ashton
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%69%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
Played161632181634
Wins69%75%72%39%31%35%
Draws13%6%9%17%38%26%
Loses19%19%19%44%31%38%

Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLWWWWLWLWWWLWDWWLWWWWW • Curzon Ashton: DDDLWLWDLWWLWWDDLWDLWLLWLLLWDDWLWL

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
GF total383977262955
GF avg2.42.42.41.41.81.6
GA total201434332558
GA avg1.30.91.11.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeCurzon Ashton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%66%82%85%
1.569%28%47%50%
2.544%9%24%21%
3.519%3%9%3%
4.516%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeCurzon Ashton
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611325
Failed to score022426

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeCurzon Ashton
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeCurzon Ashton
Wins42
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-54-10-4
Biggest losses2-42-10-83-2
Goals For5544
Goals Against4383

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeCurzon Ashton
Form68%32%
Att69%31%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h80%20%
Goals77%23%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : AFC Fylde and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Unibet
Draw6.54 @ Pinnacle
Away10.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.18 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.46 (league 1.56), Curzon Ashton = 1.86 (league 1.26)

Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.3% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 3.3% 6.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.0% 7.5% 7.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.3% 6.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 28.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1