Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.57) 1.24 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 27.4% 37.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kidderminster Harriers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 8.8% 10.9% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.0% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 7.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyKidderminster Harriers
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack21%68%
Defense63%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Kidderminster Harriers
HATHAT
Played191837201636
Wins42%22%32%55%44%50%
Draws26%28%27%35%31%33%
Loses32%50%41%10%25%17%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWLDLLWDL • Kidderminster Harriers: WDDLWWWDDLLDWWDWLDLWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Chorley Kidderminster Harriers
HATHAT
GF total332558341953
GF avg1.71.41.61.71.21.5
GA total243256191837
GA avg1.31.81.51.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyKidderminster Harriers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%89%92%58%
1.546%51%33%28%
2.530%11%17%6%
3.511%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyKidderminster Harriers
HATHAT
Clean sheets4049615
Failed to score5611123

Penalties

MetricChorleyKidderminster Harriers
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricChorleyKidderminster Harriers
Wins26
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-55-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against3355

Model comparison

MetricChorleyKidderminster Harriers
Form24%76%
Att24%76%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kidderminster Harriers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.19 (league 1.57), Kidderminster Harriers = 1.24 (league 1.26)

Kidderminster Harriers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 8.8% 10.9% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.0% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 7.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 37.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1