Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Haig Avenue
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.56) 0.89 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 17.5% 12.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthportAlfreton Town
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack37%21%
Defense74%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southport Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played191938161834
Wins26%32%29%38%11%24%
Draws47%16%32%25%28%26%
Loses26%53%39%38%61%50%

Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDLLDWLWLDLWDDWWWL • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLWDLWWLLDL

League goals

Metric Southport Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total302151171532
GF avg1.61.11.31.10.80.9
GA total263359214263
GA avg1.41.71.61.32.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthportAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%82%65%85%
1.547%50%26%50%
2.58%16%3%24%
3.53%8%0%12%
4.53%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthportAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets617235
Failed to score37105712

Penalties

MetricSouthportAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricSouthportAlfreton Town
Wins32
Draws31
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-32-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-20-36-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against4436

Model comparison

MetricSouthportAlfreton Town
Form71%29%
Att64%36%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Southport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southport = 2.36 (league 1.56), Alfreton Town = 0.89 (league 1.26)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 3.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.5% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 12.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1