Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
New Bucks Head
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.56)
0.83 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3% | 12.3% | 7.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Alfreton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Telford United | 0 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 70% | 70% |
| Defense | 40% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 28% | 40% | 43% | 12% | 26% |
| Draws | 24% | 39% | 31% | 21% | 29% | 26% |
| Loses | 24% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 59% | 48% |
Form: AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWWWLWWWWLWDDDWL • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLWDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 32 | 68 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 22 | 26 | 48 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 77% | 65% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 40% | 29% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 17% | 3% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 3% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-8 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Telford United | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Advice: Double chance : AFC Telford United or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Telford United = 2.96 (league 1.56), Alfreton Town = 0.83 (league 1.26)
| Alfreton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Telford United | 0 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 7.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1