Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
Mill Farm
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.56)
1.72 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | 20.2% | 29.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 70% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| Wins | 71% | 71% | 71% | 53% | 28% | 40% |
| Draws | 12% | 6% | 9% | 24% | 39% | 31% |
| Loses | 18% | 24% | 21% | 24% | 33% | 29% |
Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLWWWWLWLWWWLWDWWLWWWWWWL • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWWWLWWWWLWDDDWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 43 | 40 | 83 | 36 | 32 | 68 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 22 | 26 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 68% | 89% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 29% | 57% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 9% | 26% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 3% | 11% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Fylde | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 70.7% | 29.3% |
Advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.24 (league 1.56), AFC Telford United = 1.72 (league 1.26)
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 29.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1