Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.56) 1.81 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 23.0% 51.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
South Shields
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 5.2% 9.4% 8.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleySouth Shields
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack31%100%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley South Shields
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%22%34%78%59%69%
Draws24%28%26%17%29%23%
Loses29%50%40%6%12%9%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWLDLLW • South Shields: WWWWWDWDWWWWLWDLWDWLWWWWDWWDWDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Chorley South Shields
HATHAT
GF total312556463379
GF avg1.81.41.62.61.92.3
GA total213253121729
GA avg1.21.81.50.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleySouth Shields
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%89%94%60%
1.549%51%74%20%
2.531%11%37%3%
3.511%0%14%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleySouth Shields
HATHAT
Clean sheets4049514
Failed to score5611022

Penalties

MetricChorleySouth Shields
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricChorleySouth Shields
Wins25
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-46-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-23-1
Goals For4464
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricChorleySouth Shields
Form24%76%
Att24%76%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h29%71%
Goals37%63%
Total31.5%68.5%

Advice: Winner : South Shields

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.15 (league 1.56), South Shields = 1.81 (league 1.26)

South Shields
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 5.2% 9.4% 8.5% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 51.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1