Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • Victory Park
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.57) 1.53 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 23.7% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 4.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.0% 10.7% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyBuxton
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack29%41%
Defense59%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Buxton
HATHAT
Played181836191736
Wins44%22%33%37%41%39%
Draws28%28%28%11%24%17%
Loses28%50%39%53%35%44%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWLDLLWD • Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLLLWLLDLWWDLWWLDLDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Chorley Buxton
HATHAT
GF total322557312859
GF avg1.81.41.61.61.61.6
GA total223254292352
GA avg1.21.81.51.51.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyBuxton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%89%83%78%
1.547%50%47%53%
2.531%11%17%14%
3.511%0%8%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyBuxton
HATHAT
Clean sheets404448
Failed to score5611336

Penalties

MetricChorleyBuxton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricChorleyBuxton
Wins24
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-46-01-5
Biggest losses0-23-10-33-0
Goals For4465
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricChorleyBuxton
Form45%55%
Att42%58%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Buxton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.39 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.61 (league 1.57), Buxton = 1.53 (league 1.26)

Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 4.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.0% 10.7% 8.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 36.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1