Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • Haig Avenue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.56) 0.93 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.7% 23.6% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Oxford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 11.2% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthportOxford City
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack35%24%
Defense88%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southport Oxford City
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins28%32%30%37%11%24%
Draws50%16%32%11%39%24%
Loses22%53%38%53%50%51%

Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDDLLDWLWLDLWDDWWW • Oxford City: LWDLLLWLLLDLLDLWWLDLLWDLDWLWLLDWLDWLD

League goals

Metric Southport Oxford City
HATHAT
GF total292150281644
GF avg1.61.11.41.50.91.2
GA total233356283058
GA avg1.31.71.51.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthportOxford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%81%68%78%
1.549%49%30%46%
2.58%14%11%22%
3.53%8%5%8%
4.53%0%5%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthportOxford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets617538
Failed to score37104812

Penalties

MetricSouthportOxford City
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricSouthportOxford City
Wins22
Draws31
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-35-01-2
Biggest losses2-44-21-54-0
Goals For5353
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricSouthportOxford City
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Southport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away4.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southport = 1.74 (league 1.56), Oxford City = 0.93 (league 1.26)

Oxford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 11.2% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1