Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
Rossett Park
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.56)
2.50 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7% | 18.8% | 42.0% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Merthyr Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marine | 0 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 20 | 40 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| Wins | 50% | 35% | 43% | 48% | 52% | 50% |
| Draws | 20% | 15% | 18% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 30% | 50% | 40% | 43% | 38% | 40% |
Form: Marine: LWWWLLLLDWLWWLDWWDWLDWLLWDWDLWWLLLWDWLLW • Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWWLDLLWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWLLLLDWLWLWLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 19 | 54 | 44 | 44 | 88 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 29 | 31 | 60 | 37 | 40 | 77 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 78% | 83% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 38% | 62% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 18% | 33% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 18% | 17% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 7-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 66.6% | 33.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Marine or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marine = 2.19 (league 1.56), Merthyr Town = 2.50 (league 1.26)
| Merthyr Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marine | 0 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 42.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1