Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 •
Deva Stadium
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.57)
1.89 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.0% | 22.3% | 47.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chester | 0 | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chester | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 69% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chester | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 35% | 43% | 39% | 52% | 25% | 39% |
| Draws | 40% | 19% | 29% | 24% | 40% | 32% |
| Loses | 25% | 38% | 32% | 24% | 35% | 29% |
Form: Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLDWDWDWWLLWLLDWLLLWDWWLWWWDLW • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWWWLWWWWLWDDDWLWLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Chester | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 29 | 59 | 45 | 34 | 79 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 28 | 34 | 62 | 27 | 29 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chester | AFC Telford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 83% | 88% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 49% | 41% | 56% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 20% | 27% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 12% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chester | AFC Telford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chester | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chester | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chester | AFC Telford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Chester or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chester = 1.44 (league 1.57), AFC Telford United = 1.89 (league 1.26)
| AFC Telford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chester | 0 | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 47.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1