Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 • Your Co-op Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.57) 1.01 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 26.3% 26.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leamington 0 8.3% 8.5% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.4% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeamingtonAlfreton Town
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack47%18%
Defense24%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leamington Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played212142202141
Wins24%5%14%40%10%24%
Draws14%24%19%25%29%27%
Loses62%71%67%35%62%49%

Form: Leamington: DLDWLWWLLDLLLDLLLLLLLDLLWDDLLLLLLWDLLLLLWL • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLWDLWWLLDLLWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Leamington Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total211435211738
GF avg1.00.70.81.10.80.9
GA total344680254873
GA avg1.62.21.91.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeamingtonAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%93%66%85%
1.519%60%24%49%
2.52%21%2%22%
3.52%10%0%10%
4.50%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeamingtonAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets213336
Failed to score89176814

Penalties

MetricLeamingtonAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeamingtonAlfreton Town
Wins22
Draws21
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-22-00-2
Biggest losses2-55-00-36-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against5536

Model comparison

MetricLeamingtonAlfreton Town
Form38%63%
Att73%27%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h7%93%
Goals31%69%
Total40.7%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alfreton Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ BetVictor
Draw3.80 @ Superbet
Away2.39 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leamington = 1.47 (league 1.57), Alfreton Town = 1.01 (league 1.26)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leamington 0 8.3% 8.5% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.4% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.1% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 26.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1