Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:30 •
Neuven Stadium
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.57)
2.72 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7% | 17.7% | 52.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
1 - 3
6.8%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Macclesfield | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Radcliffe | 0 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Macclesfield carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 152 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Radcliffe -34.4, Macclesfield -31.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Radcliffe
vs
Macclesfield
Elo gapMacclesfield +152
Home / draw / away24% / 18% / 58%
Expected home share29%
Combined Elo3067
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3067
Elo home share
29%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1440 | 1627 |
| Form Elo | 1406 | 1621.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1457.2 | 1582.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1558.4 | 1711.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1347.2 | 1541 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -34.4 | -31.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Radcliffe last-5 Elo change: -34.4; Macclesfield last-5 Elo change: -31.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 40% |
| Attack | 53% | 26% |
| Defense | 5% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 23 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| Wins | 36% | 39% | 38% | 57% | 50% | 53% |
| Draws | 23% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 18% | 16% |
| Loses | 41% | 57% | 49% | 30% | 32% | 31% |
RadcliffeLLWLWWLWWWWDWWDLLDLWWWDLWLLLWWLWWLLLDLLLDLLLL
MacclesfieldWLWDDWLDLLWWWWDLDDWLLWWWLWWWWLDWLWWLWWWWLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 39 | 75 | 42 | 39 | 81 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 44 | 39 | 83 | 30 | 37 | 67 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Radcliffe | Macclesfield | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 84% | 84% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | 56% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 31% | 27% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 11% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Radcliffe | Macclesfield |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.90 @ Betfair
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.02 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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