Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Gelora Kie Raha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.44) 2.01 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 21.2% 58.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malut United 0 4.7% 9.5% 9.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalut UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack67%33%
Defense25%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malut United Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%0%50%20%
Draws50%33%40%67%0%40%
Loses50%33%40%33%50%40%

Form: Malut United: WDDLL • Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLD

League goals

Metric Malut United Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
GF total358224
GF avg1.51.71.60.71.00.8
GA total549325
GA avg2.51.31.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalut UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%60%80%
1.540%60%20%20%
2.540%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalut UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricMalut UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMalut UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Wins11
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3—1-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-21-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricMalut UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Persepam Madura Utd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Dafabet
Away4.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malut United = 1.04 (league 1.44), Persepam Madura Utd = 2.01 (league 1.24)

Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malut United 0 4.7% 9.5% 9.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 58.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1