Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.47) 1.18 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 11.6% 9.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Semen Padang
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.9% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaSemen Padang
Played44
Form50%33%
Attack46%31%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.54 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Semen Padang
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%50%50%33%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%25%
Loses50%50%50%33%100%50%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWL • Semen Padang: LWDL

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Semen Padang
HATHAT
GF total516404
GF avg2.50.51.51.30.01.0
GA total314325
GA avg1.50.51.01.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaSemen Padang
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%75%75%
1.525%25%25%50%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaSemen Padang
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaSemen Padang
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaSemen Padang
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-12-0
Biggest losses0-11-01-22-0
Goals For5120
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaSemen Padang
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Winner : Persebaya Surabaya

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Superbet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away5.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 3.41 (league 1.47), Semen Padang = 1.18 (league 1.27)

Semen Padang
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.9% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 9.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1