Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 08:30 • Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.44) 1.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 17.5% 20.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bali United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.6% 5.8% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.4% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSemen PadangBali United
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack57%100%
Defense14%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Semen Padang Bali United
HATHAT
Played325336
Wins33%0%20%33%0%17%
Draws33%0%20%33%67%50%
Loses33%100%60%33%33%33%

Form: Semen Padang: LWDLL • Bali United: DDLWDL

League goals

Metric Semen Padang Bali United
HATHAT
GF total404369
GF avg1.30.00.81.02.01.5
GA total3364913
GA avg1.01.51.21.33.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSemen PadangBali United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%100%83%
1.520%40%33%50%
2.50%0%17%50%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSemen PadangBali United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricSemen PadangBali United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSemen PadangBali United
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-0—
Biggest losses1-22-01-35-2
Goals For2013
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricSemen PadangBali United
Form44%56%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%100%
Goals16%84%
Total44.6%55.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bali United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.25 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Semen Padang = 2.71 (league 1.44), Bali United = 1.61 (league 1.24)

Bali United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.6% 5.8% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.4% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 20.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1