Liga 1 — Indonesia
Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 08:30 • Stadion Sumpah Pemuda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.44) 0.41 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 31.6% 12.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.1%
0 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Malut United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bhayangkara FC 0 20.5% 8.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBhayangkara FCMalut United
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack38%69%
Defense77%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bhayangkara FC Malut United
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%33%33%33%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%67%33%33%33%33%

Form: Bhayangkara FC: LDLWDW • Malut United: WDDLLW

League goals

Metric Bhayangkara FC Malut United
HATHAT
GF total4157512
GF avg1.30.30.82.31.72.0
GA total1346410
GA avg0.31.00.72.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBhayangkara FCMalut United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%83%100%
1.517%17%50%50%
2.50%0%50%17%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBhayangkara FCMalut United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricBhayangkara FCMalut United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBhayangkara FCMalut United
Wins11
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-11-3
Biggest losses—2-10-22-1
Goals For2143
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricBhayangkara FCMalut United
Form62%38%
Att36%64%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bhayangkara FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bhayangkara FC = 1.17 (league 1.44), Malut United = 0.41 (league 1.24)

Malut United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bhayangkara FC 0 20.5% 8.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.1% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1