Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 12:00 • Indomilk Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.50) 0.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 37.6% 26.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Semen Padang
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepam Madura Utd 0 24.0% 15.0% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.2% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersepam Madura UtdSemen Padang
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack40%33%
Defense40%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persepam Madura Utd Semen Padang
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins17%25%21%25%17%21%
Draws33%38%36%13%0%7%
Loses50%38%43%63%83%71%

Form: Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDLDWLDWLLD • Semen Padang: LWDLLLLLLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Persepam Madura Utd Semen Padang
HATHAT
GF total58137310
GF avg0.81.00.90.90.50.7
GA total9101911920
GA avg1.51.31.41.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersepam Madura UtdSemen Padang
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%57%86%
1.529%29%14%50%
2.50%14%0%7%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersepam Madura UtdSemen Padang
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score235246

Penalties

MetricPersepam Madura UtdSemen Padang
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPersepam Madura UtdSemen Padang
Wins11
Draws11
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-44-11-32-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricPersepam Madura UtdSemen Padang
Form45%55%
Att55%45%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Semen Padang

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persepam Madura Utd = 0.80 (league 1.50), Semen Padang = 0.63 (league 1.20)

Semen Padang
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepam Madura Utd 0 24.0% 15.0% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.2% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 26.0%

vtt 11 , vtd1