Liga 1 — Indonesia
Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 12:00 • Banten International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.44) 1.17 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 22.6% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dewa United 0 4.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDewa UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack67%13%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dewa United Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Played527347
Wins40%50%43%0%25%14%
Draws20%0%14%67%25%43%
Loses40%50%43%33%50%43%

Form: Dewa United: LLWLWWD • Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDLD

League goals

Metric Dewa United Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
GF total9211235
GF avg1.81.01.60.70.80.7
GA total9312369
GA avg1.81.51.71.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDewa UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%57%71%
1.543%43%14%29%
2.529%29%0%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDewa UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricDewa UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDewa UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Wins21
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2—1-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-24-1
Goals For3212
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricDewa UnitedPersepam Madura Utd
Form77%23%
Att83%17%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Dewa United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 188Bet
Draw5.44 @ Pinnacle
Away10.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dewa United = 1.87 (league 1.44), Persepam Madura Utd = 1.17 (league 1.23)

Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dewa United 0 4.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1