Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.46) 1.42 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 21.3% 26.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Persija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.4% 9.0% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersija
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack62%46%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Persija
HATHAT
Played336347
Wins67%33%50%33%50%43%
Draws0%33%17%67%0%29%
Loses33%33%33%0%50%29%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWD • Persija: WWDWDLL

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Persija
HATHAT
GF total6286713
GF avg2.00.71.32.01.81.9
GA total325268
GA avg1.00.70.80.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaPersija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%86%71%
1.517%17%43%29%
2.517%0%43%14%
3.517%0%14%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersija
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersija
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersija
Wins22
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-14-00-3
Biggest losses0-11-03-1
Goals For5143
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersija
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 2.06 (league 1.46), Persija = 1.42 (league 1.27)

Persija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.4% 9.0% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 26.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1