Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 08:30 • Stadion Maguwoharjo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.44) 0.90 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 38.9% 49.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.4%
0 - 1
27.3%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Persebaya Surabaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSBS Biak Numfor 0 30.4% 27.3% 12.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1%
1 8.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersebaya Surabaya
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack31%62%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor Persebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
Played538437
Wins0%33%13%50%33%43%
Draws40%0%25%0%33%14%
Loses60%67%63%50%33%43%

Form: PSBS Biak Numfor: LLDLWLDL • Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDL

League goals

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor Persebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
GF total347729
GF avg0.61.30.91.80.71.3
GA total8816628
GA avg1.62.72.01.50.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSBS Biak NumforPersebaya Surabaya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%71%71%
1.525%63%14%29%
2.50%38%14%14%
3.50%13%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score303112

Penalties

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersebaya Surabaya
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersebaya Surabaya
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-25-20-1
Biggest losses0-34-11-31-0
Goals For2251
Goals Against3431

Model comparison

MetricPSBS Biak NumforPersebaya Surabaya
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Persebaya Surabaya

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Superbet
Away1.84 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.19 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSBS Biak Numfor = 0.29 (league 1.44), Persebaya Surabaya = 0.90 (league 1.24)

Persebaya Surabaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSBS Biak Numfor 0 30.4% 27.3% 12.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1%
1 8.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 49.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1