Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 12:00 • Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.44) 1.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.6% 24.7% 59.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 2
13.1%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Persija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepam Madura Utd 0 10.1% 16.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersepam Madura UtdPersija
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack30%80%
Defense50%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persepam Madura Utd Persija
HATHAT
Played358358
Wins0%40%25%33%60%50%
Draws67%20%38%67%0%25%
Loses33%40%38%0%40%25%

Form: Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDLDW • Persija: WWDWDLLW

League goals

Metric Persepam Madura Utd Persija
HATHAT
GF total25761016
GF avg0.71.00.92.02.02.0
GA total369279
GA avg1.01.21.10.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersepam Madura UtdPersija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%88%75%
1.525%25%50%25%
2.50%13%50%13%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersepam Madura UtdPersija
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricPersepam Madura UtdPersija
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPersepam Madura UtdPersija
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-1—3-1
Goals For1243
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricPersepam Madura UtdPersija
Form42%58%
Att27%73%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : Persepam Madura Utd or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persepam Madura Utd = 0.68 (league 1.44), Persija = 1.61 (league 1.24)

Persija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persepam Madura Utd 0 10.1% 16.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 59.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1