Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 08:30 • Gelora BJ Habibie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.44) 0.64 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 36.8% 26.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.8%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSM Makassar 0 22.8% 14.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.0% 12.2% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSM MakassarPersepam Madura Utd
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack42%25%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSM Makassar Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Played448459
Wins25%0%13%0%40%22%
Draws50%75%63%50%20%33%
Loses25%25%25%50%40%44%

Form: PSM Makassar: DDDLWDLD • Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDLDWL

League goals

Metric PSM Makassar Persepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
GF total448257
GF avg1.01.01.00.51.00.8
GA total3584610
GA avg0.81.31.01.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSM MakassarPersepam Madura Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%56%67%
1.513%25%22%22%
2.50%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSM MakassarPersepam Madura Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricPSM MakassarPersepam Madura Utd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPSM MakassarPersepam Madura Utd
Wins11
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——0-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-24-1
Goals For2112
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricPSM MakassarPersepam Madura Utd
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total56.5%43.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : PSM Makassar or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ 888Sport
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSM Makassar = 0.83 (league 1.44), Persepam Madura Utd = 0.64 (league 1.24)

Persepam Madura Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSM Makassar 0 22.8% 14.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.0% 12.2% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1