Liga 1 — Indonesia
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.45) 1.49 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 26.3% 55.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 11.4% 16.9% 12.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSemen PadangArema FC
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack9%64%
Defense27%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Semen Padang Arema FC
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%0%11%40%25%33%
Draws20%0%11%0%75%33%
Loses60%100%78%60%0%33%

Form: Semen Padang: LWDLLLLLL • Arema FC: WDWDLLDWL

League goals

Metric Semen Padang Arema FC
HATHAT
GF total5059514
GF avg1.00.00.61.81.31.6
GA total76139413
GA avg1.41.51.41.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSemen PadangArema FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%89%89%89%
1.511%44%44%44%
2.50%11%11%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSemen PadangArema FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score145011

Penalties

MetricSemen PadangArema FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricSemen PadangArema FC
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-11-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-3—
Goals For2042
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricSemen PadangArema FC
Form0%100%
Att13%88%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total32.6%67.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arema FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Semen Padang = 0.69 (league 1.45), Arema FC = 1.49 (league 1.23)

Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 11.4% 16.9% 12.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 55.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1