Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.44) 2.77 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 11.1% 78.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 3
13.6%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pusamania Borneo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 3.8% 10.7% 14.8% 13.6% 9.5% 5.2%
1 1.9% 5.2% 7.2% 6.6% 4.6% 2.6%
2 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSemen PadangPusamania Borneo
Played55
Form0%100%
Attack15%100%
Defense31%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Semen Padang Pusamania Borneo
HATHAT
Played6410639
Wins17%0%10%100%100%100%
Draws17%0%10%0%0%0%
Loses67%100%80%0%0%0%

Form: Semen Padang: LWDLLLLLLL • Pusamania Borneo: WWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Semen Padang Pusamania Borneo
HATHAT
GF total60614721
GF avg1.00.00.62.32.32.3
GA total9615224
GA avg1.51.51.50.30.70.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSemen PadangPusamania Borneo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%90%100%44%
1.510%50%67%0%
2.50%10%56%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSemen PadangPusamania Borneo
HATHAT
Clean sheets101415
Failed to score145000

Penalties

MetricSemen PadangPusamania Borneo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSemen PadangPusamania Borneo
Wins19
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-01-3
Biggest losses1-32-0——
Goals For2043
Goals Against3211

Model comparison

MetricSemen PadangPusamania Borneo
Form0%100%
Att13%87%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total25.8%74.2%

Advice: Winner : Pusamania Borneo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away1.62 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Semen Padang = 0.49 (league 1.44), Pusamania Borneo = 2.77 (league 1.24)

Pusamania Borneo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Semen Padang 0 3.8% 10.7% 14.8% 13.6% 9.5% 5.2%
1 1.9% 5.2% 7.2% 6.6% 4.6% 2.6%
2 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 78.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1