Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 08:30 • Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.45) 1.60 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 24.6% 45.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 5.8% 9.3% 7.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaArema FC
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack31%50%
Defense63%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Arema FC
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins60%20%40%33%40%36%
Draws0%60%30%0%60%27%
Loses40%20%30%67%0%36%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWD • Arema FC: WDWDLLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Arema FC
HATHAT
GF total931210717
GF avg1.80.61.21.71.41.5
GA total731011516
GA avg1.40.61.01.81.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaArema FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%91%91%
1.520%20%45%45%
2.510%10%9%9%
3.510%0%9%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaArema FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaArema FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaArema FC
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-14-11-2
Biggest losses1-31-01-3—
Goals For5142
Goals Against3132

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaArema FC
Form46%54%
Att38%62%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 1.24 (league 1.45), Arema FC = 1.60 (league 1.23)

Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 5.8% 9.3% 7.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.3% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 45.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1