Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 08:30 • Gelora BJ Habibie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.50) 0.87 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 22.1% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSM Makassar 0 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.3% 9.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSM MakassarPSBS Biak Numfor
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack31%23%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSM Makassar PSBS Biak Numfor
HATHAT
Played55107411
Wins20%20%20%14%25%18%
Draws60%60%60%43%0%27%
Loses20%20%20%43%75%55%

Form: PSM Makassar: DDDLWDLDDW • PSBS Biak Numfor: LLDLWLDLDLW

League goals

Metric PSM Makassar PSBS Biak Numfor
HATHAT
GF total55105510
GF avg1.01.01.00.71.30.9
GA total45991120
GA avg0.81.00.91.32.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSM MakassarPSBS Biak Numfor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%64%82%
1.510%20%27%55%
2.50%0%0%36%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSM MakassarPSBS Biak Numfor
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score101404

Penalties

MetricPSM MakassarPSBS Biak Numfor
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricPSM MakassarPSBS Biak Numfor
Wins11
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-11-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-34-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricPSM MakassarPSBS Biak Numfor
Form55%45%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : PSM Makassar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Bet365
Draw5.00 @ 188Bet
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSM Makassar = 1.87 (league 1.50), PSBS Biak Numfor = 0.87 (league 1.20)

PSBS Biak Numfor
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSM Makassar 0 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.3% 9.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 16.9%

vtt 9 , vtd1