Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 08:30 • Stadion Sumpah Pemuda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.45) 0.29 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 50.7% 16.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.5%
1 - 0
23.4%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Persebaya Surabaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bhayangkara FC 0 43.5% 12.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 6.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack67%56%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bhayangkara FC Persebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
Played75126511
Wins57%20%42%50%20%36%
Draws29%20%25%17%60%36%
Loses14%60%33%33%20%27%

Form: Bhayangkara FC: LDLWDWLWWDWL • Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWDD

League goals

Metric Bhayangkara FC Persebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
GF total921110313
GF avg1.30.40.91.70.61.2
GA total4488311
GA avg0.60.80.71.30.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%73%73%
1.525%8%18%18%
2.50%0%9%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
Clean sheets325123
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricBhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-15-20-1
Biggest losses0-12-11-31-0
Goals For2151
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricBhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
Form63%38%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total53.2%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bhayangkara FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 888Sport
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bhayangkara FC = 0.54 (league 1.45), Persebaya Surabaya = 0.29 (league 1.23)

Persebaya Surabaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bhayangkara FC 0 43.5% 12.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.4% 6.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 50.7% · Away win 16.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1