Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 12:00 • Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.50) 2.17 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 20.0% 58.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pusamania Borneo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 3.7% 8.0% 8.6% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.8% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPusamania Borneo
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack32%42%
Defense74%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Pusamania Borneo
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins50%14%31%88%80%85%
Draws17%71%46%0%0%0%
Loses33%14%23%13%20%15%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWDDDD • Pusamania Borneo: WWWWWWWWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Pusamania Borneo
HATHAT
GF total10515151025
GF avg1.70.71.21.92.01.9
GA total8513358
GA avg1.30.71.00.41.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaPusamania Borneo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%92%46%
1.515%15%54%8%
2.58%8%38%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPusamania Borneo
HATHAT
Clean sheets123527
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPusamania Borneo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPusamania Borneo
Wins211
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-14-01-3
Biggest losses1-31-00-13-1
Goals For5143
Goals Against3113

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPusamania Borneo
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 1.13 (league 1.50), Pusamania Borneo = 2.17 (league 1.20)

Pusamania Borneo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 3.7% 8.0% 8.6% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.8% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.1% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 58.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1