Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 12:00 • Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.50) 0.76 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 43.4% 44.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.8%
0 - 1
27.2%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bali United 0 35.8% 27.2% 10.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.6% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBali UnitedArema FC
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack50%50%
Defense80%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bali United Arema FC
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%50%33%25%29%27%
Draws57%25%40%13%71%40%
Loses29%25%27%63%0%33%

Form: Bali United: DDLWDLWWDLLDWWD • Arema FC: WDWDLLDWLWLDDDL

League goals

Metric Bali United Arema FC
HATHAT
GF total3161912921
GF avg0.42.01.31.51.31.4
GA total5131814721
GA avg0.71.61.21.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBali UnitedArema FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%60%87%93%
1.533%27%40%40%
2.520%20%7%7%
3.50%7%7%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBali UnitedArema FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score404112

Penalties

MetricBali UnitedArema FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricBali UnitedArema FC
Wins21
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-34-11-2
Biggest losses1-35-21-3—
Goals For1342
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricBali UnitedArema FC
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bali United or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bali United = 0.27 (league 1.50), Arema FC = 0.76 (league 1.20)

Arema FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bali United 0 35.8% 27.2% 10.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.6% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 43.4% · Away win 44.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1