Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 12:00 • Gelora BJ Habibie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.50) 1.34 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 25.0% 33.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bali United
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSM Makassar 0 5.9% 7.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.8% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSM MakassarBali United
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack67%56%
Defense11%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.60 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSM Makassar Bali United
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%25%50%38%
Draws50%38%44%50%25%38%
Loses25%38%31%25%25%25%

Form: PSM Makassar: DDDLWDLDDWWWDLLL • Bali United: DDLWDLWWDLLDWWDW

League goals

Metric PSM Makassar Bali United
HATHAT
GF total11102141620
GF avg1.41.31.30.52.01.3
GA total6111751318
GA avg0.81.41.10.61.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSM MakassarBali United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%75%56%
1.519%25%31%25%
2.513%6%19%19%
3.513%0%0%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSM MakassarBali United
HATHAT
Clean sheets314527
Failed to score213404

Penalties

MetricPSM MakassarBali United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricPSM MakassarBali United
Wins32
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-03-41-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-35-2
Goals For5413
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricPSM MakassarBali United
Form27%73%
Att55%45%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h25%75%
Goals42%58%
Total40.4%59.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bali United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Dafabet
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSM Makassar = 1.50 (league 1.50), Bali United = 1.34 (league 1.20)

Bali United
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSM Makassar 0 5.9% 7.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.8% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 33.7%

vtt 5 , vtd1