Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:00 • Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.50) 0.60 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.5% 21.1% 11.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Dewa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 8.5% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 9.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaDewa United
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Dewa United
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins56%33%44%50%25%39%
Draws22%56%39%10%13%11%
Loses22%11%17%40%63%50%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWDDDDDWWWW • Dewa United: LLWLWWDLLLLLWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Dewa United
HATHAT
GF total1892717522
GF avg2.01.01.51.70.61.2
GA total11516131124
GA avg1.20.60.91.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaDewa United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%56%78%
1.533%17%33%33%
2.517%6%22%17%
3.511%0%6%6%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaDewa United
HATHAT
Clean sheets246224
Failed to score123268

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaDewa United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaDewa United
Wins22
Draws51
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-35-10-3
Biggest losses1-31-01-34-0
Goals For5353
Goals Against3134

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaDewa United
Form57%43%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dewa United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 1.86 (league 1.50), Dewa United = 0.60 (league 1.20)

Dewa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 8.5% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.9% 9.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.5% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 11.2%

vtt 3 , vtd1