Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:00 • Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.50) 0.60 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.1% 20.7% 10.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bhayangkara FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 8.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.7% 9.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaBhayangkara FC
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack63%38%
Defense81%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Bhayangkara FC
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%40%45%50%20%35%
Draws30%50%40%30%20%25%
Loses20%10%15%20%60%40%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWDDDDDWWWWDW • Bhayangkara FC: LDLWDWLWWDWLDLLWLDWL

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Bhayangkara FC
HATHAT
GF total19123112618
GF avg1.91.21.61.20.60.9
GA total1261871522
GA avg1.20.60.90.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaBhayangkara FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%70%70%70%
1.535%15%20%25%
2.520%5%0%10%
3.510%0%0%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaBhayangkara FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets246426
Failed to score123156

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaBhayangkara FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaBhayangkara FC
Wins42
Draws51
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-31-01-24-1
Goals For5322
Goals Against3124

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaBhayangkara FC
Form65%35%
Att63%38%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total67.8%32.3%

Advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 888Sport
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away5.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 1.89 (league 1.50), Bhayangkara FC = 0.60 (league 1.20)

Bhayangkara FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 8.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.7% 9.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.8% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 10.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1